Hamrun Spartans 69%Draw 20%Gzira United 11%Expected goals 2.16 – 0.74
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗69% · @1.33
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✗89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 15 April the Premier League brings Hamrun Spartans against Gzira United. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th on 18 points after 12 matches; Gzira United are 12th with 5. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hamrun Spartans, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mosta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gzira United, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Naxxar Lions, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamrun Spartans 2.2 xG, Gzira United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamrun Spartans 69%, draw 20%, Gzira United 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Gzira United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamrun Spartans69%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.60
Gzira United11%fair 8.85 · @7.80
2.90Expected goals
2.16Hamrun Spartans xG
0.74Gzira United xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 2.2 – 0.7 Gzira United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win✗
69%
1.46
1.33
Double chance
Hamrun Spartans or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.90
Draw no bet
Hamrun Spartans (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Hamrun Spartans -1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Hamrun Spartans to score first✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Hamrun Spartans ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Hamrun Spartans – last 6
LWDDWW
15 Mar
@ Mosta
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Birkirkara
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Valletta FC
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Floriana
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Marsaxlokk
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Hibernians
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gzira United – last 6
DWWWLL
4 Apr
vs Naxxar Lions
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Mosta
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Hibernians
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Mosta
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Naxxar Lions
2–4
L
13 Feb
vs Valletta FC
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Gzira United.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gzira United 11%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Gzira United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Naxxar Lions1