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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Volna v Smorgon: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Belarus · Volna Stadium

Volna

WLDLL
1–0
FT

Smorgon

LWWWL
Volna 39%Draw 19%Smorgon 42% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.56
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Smorgon to win @ 2.68 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSmorgon to win ✗42% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Volna vs Smorgon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Volna v Smorgon in the 1. Division, played at Volna Stadium. In the table, Volna are 9th, upper half, on 44 points after 32 matches; Smorgon are 11th (lower half) with 39.

Current form

Volna, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bumprom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Smorgon, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Shakhter Soligorsk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Smorgon, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Volna.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Smorgon 1–3 Volna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Volna 1.5 xG, Smorgon 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Volna 39%, draw 19%, Smorgon 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Smorgon to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volna 1–1 Smorgon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Volna39%fair 2.56 · @2.11
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
Smorgon42%fair 2.41 · @2.68
3.07Expected goals
1.51Volna xG
1.56Smorgon xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Volna 1.5 – 1.6 Smorgon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSmorgon to win ✗42%2.412.68 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.44
Draw no betSmorgon (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapVolna +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.651.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.51
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreSmorgon to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Smorgon / FT Smorgon ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Volna – last 6

WLDLLL
24 Oct@ Bumprom3–1W
18 Octvs Minsk II1–4L
10 Oct@ Osipovichy1–1D
2 Octvs Lida0–2L
26 Sep@ Niva0–4L
19 Sepvs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Smorgon – last 6

LWWWLW
24 Oct@ Shakhter Soligorsk0–4L
17 Octvs Bumprom1–0W
11 Oct@ Minsk II2–0W
3 Octvs Osipovichy2–0W
25 Sep@ Lida1–2L
19 Sepvs Niva1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Smorgon v Volna1–3
Volna vs Smorgon head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Slutsk322165+3269
2Lida322237+1569
3Niva322156+4568
4FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk321967+3263
5Slonim3216511+1353
6Molodechno-DYuSSh 43216313+451
7Shakhter Soligorsk3214810+1550
8Bumprom3213514+744
9Volna3213514-944
10Ostrovets FC3210139043
11Smorgon3211615-639
12Dinamo Minsk II3111515-338
13Minsk II3211318-1536
14Orsha3210616-1936
15Uni Minsk3281014-834
16Gomel II326620-2524
17Osipovichy326620-4524
18BATE II315719-3322

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Volna vs Smorgon?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Volna vs Smorgon?

On our numbers Volna have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Smorgon 42%.

How many goals will there be in Volna vs Smorgon?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Volna vs Smorgon?

Our predicted score is Volna 1–1 Smorgon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Volna vs Smorgon?

Volna vs Smorgon (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Volna Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.