Volna 39%Draw 19%Smorgon 42%Expected goals 1.51 – 1.56
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Smorgon to win @ 2.68 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSmorgon to win ✗42% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Volna vs Smorgon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Volna v Smorgon in the 1. Division, played at Volna Stadium. In the table, Volna are 9th, upper half, on 44 points after 32 matches; Smorgon are 11th (lower half) with 39.
Current form
Volna, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bumprom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Smorgon, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Shakhter Soligorsk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Smorgon, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Volna.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Smorgon 1–3 Volna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volna 1.5 xG, Smorgon 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volna 39%, draw 19%, Smorgon 42%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Smorgon to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volna 1–1 Smorgon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volna39%fair 2.56 · @2.11
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
Smorgon42%fair 2.41 · @2.68
3.07Expected goals
1.51Volna xG
1.56Smorgon xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Volna 1.5 – 1.6 Smorgon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Volna vs Smorgon?
On our numbers Volna have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Smorgon 42%.
How many goals will there be in Volna vs Smorgon?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volna vs Smorgon?
Our predicted score is Volna 1–1 Smorgon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Volna vs Smorgon?
Volna vs Smorgon (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Volna Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.