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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza v Isidro Metapán: numbers & prediction

·

Alianza

WDDWL
3–1
FT

Isidro Metapán

LDDWD
Alianza 47%Draw 28%Isidro Metapán 25% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.05
75%
Betarazi pick

Alianza or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlianza to win ✓47% · @1.95
Double chanceAlianza or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Alianza vs Isidro Metapán: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Alianza v Isidro Metapán in the .

Current form

Alianza, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Hércules, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Isidro Metapán, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Inter, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Alianza, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Isidro Metapán.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Isidro Metapán 0–0 Alianza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.4 xG, Isidro Metapán 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 47%, draw 28%, Isidro Metapán 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alianza or draw (75%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alianza or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Isidro Metapán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza47%fair 2.14 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
Isidro Metapán25%fair 3.99 · @3.80
2.46Expected goals
1.41Alianza xG
1.05Isidro Metapán xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.4 – 1.1 Isidro Metapán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza to win ✓47%2.141.95
Double chanceAlianza or draw ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.832.05 ▲
Draw no betAlianza (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapIsidro Metapán +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreAlianza to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza / FT Alianza ✓26%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.23–

Recent results

Alianza – last 6

WDDWLD
5 Aprvs Hércules3–2W
2 Apr@ Isidro Metapán0–0D
29 Marvs Platense3–3D
19 Marvs Cacahuatique2–1W
15 Mar@ Inter0–2L
13 Mar@ Zacatecoluca3–3D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Isidro Metapán – last 6

LDDWDL
5 Apr@ Inter1–2L
2 Aprvs Alianza0–0D
29 Mar@ Zacatecoluca2–2D
22 Marvs Municipal Limeño1–0W
18 Mar@ Águila1–1D
15 Marvs FAS0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Isidro Metapán v Alianza0–0
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Batanecos0 Firpo2 118%6.50X19%4.20263%1.40 0.4–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

Our pick is Alianza or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

On our numbers Alianza have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Isidro Metapán 25%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Isidro Metapán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Alianza vs Isidro Metapán?

Alianza vs Isidro Metapán () kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.