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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arys v Ekibastuz: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Kazakhstan

Arys

LDDWL
3–1
FT
Arys 34%Draw 21%Ekibastuz 45% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.73
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultEkibastuz to win ✗45% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Arys vs Ekibastuz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Arys v Ekibastuz in the 1. Division. In the table, Arys are 7th, upper half, on 33 points after 26 matches; Ekibastuz are 11th (lower half) with 27.

Current form

Arys, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sport Academy Kairat, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ekibastuz, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Turan Turkistan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ekibastuz, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Arys.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended Ekibastuz 1–1 Arys.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arys 1.5 xG, Ekibastuz 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arys 34%, draw 21%, Ekibastuz 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arys 1–2 Ekibastuz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arys34%fair 2.91 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Ekibastuz45%fair 2.24 · @2.32
3.21Expected goals
1.48Arys xG
1.73Ekibastuz xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%

From our goals model: Arys 1.5 – 1.7 Ekibastuz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEkibastuz to win ✗45%2.242.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betEkibastuz (draw no bet) ✗56%1.77–
Asian handicapArys +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.43
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.721.61
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.24
First team to scoreEkibastuz to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ekibastuz / FT Ekibastuz ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Arys – last 6

LDDWLL
27 Aug@ Sport Academy Kairat0–1L
20 Augvs Taraz1–1D
14 Aug@ Khan Tengri0–0D
7 Augvs Tobol 23–0W
31 Jul@ Astana II0–2L
24 Jul@ Shakhter Karagandy1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ekibastuz – last 6

LLWWWL
27 Augvs Turan Turkistan2–4L
20 Aug@ Akademiya Ontustik2–3L
14 Augvs Jaiyq3–1W
6 Aug@ Aktobe Jas2–0W
30 Julvs Yelimay Semey 22–1W
23 Jul@ Kaspij Aktau 20–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jun 2026Ekibastuz v Arys1–1
Arys vs Ekibastuz head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhter Karagandy262123+5665
2Sport Academy Kairat261961+5763
3Turan Turkistan261835+3357
4Akademiya Ontustik261349+443
5Astana II2612311+239
6Taraz261079+437
7Arys2610313-1133
8Jaiyq269512-932
9Khan Tengri269512-1332
10Kaspij Aktau 2268414-1228
11Ekibastuz267613-2527
12Aktobe Jas266614-3524
13Tobol 2266515-1323
14Yelimay Semey 2263320-3812

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arys vs Ekibastuz?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Arys vs Ekibastuz?

On our numbers Arys have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ekibastuz 45%.

How many goals will there be in Arys vs Ekibastuz?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arys vs Ekibastuz?

Our predicted score is Arys 1–2 Ekibastuz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Arys vs Ekibastuz?

Arys vs Ekibastuz (1. Division) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.