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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shakhter Karagandy v Akademiya Ontustik: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Kazakhstan · Shakhter Stadion
Shakhter Karagandy 70%Draw 17%Akademiya Ontustik 12% Expected goals 2.25 – 0.81
70%
Betarazi pick

Shakhter Karagandy to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.23Odds

Picks by market

ResultShakhter Karagandy to win ✓70% · @1.23
Double chanceShakhter Karagandy or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Akademiya Ontustik travel to face Shakhter Karagandy on Thursday 8 October in the 1. Division, with Shakhter Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Shakhter Karagandy are 1st, leading the league, on 65 points after 26 matches; Akademiya Ontustik are 4th (among the top four) with 43. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shakhter Karagandy, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Taraz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Akademiya Ontustik, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jaiyq, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Jul 2026) it ended Akademiya Ontustik 1–2 Shakhter Karagandy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shakhter Karagandy 2.3 xG, Akademiya Ontustik 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhter Karagandy 70%, draw 17%, Akademiya Ontustik 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shakhter Karagandy to win (70%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhter Karagandy 2–0 Akademiya Ontustik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shakhter Karagandy70%fair 1.42 · @1.23
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @5.35
Akademiya Ontustik12%fair 8.20 · @9.00
3.06Expected goals
2.25Shakhter Karagandy xG
0.81Akademiya Ontustik xG
48%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Shakhter Karagandy 2.3 – 0.8 Akademiya Ontustik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhter Karagandy to win ✓70%1.421.23
Double chanceShakhter Karagandy or draw ✓88%1.14–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.911.83
Draw no betShakhter Karagandy (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapShakhter Karagandy -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.651.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.51
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreShakhter Karagandy to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultShakhter Karagandy ahead at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhter Karagandy / FT Shakhter Karagandy ✗46%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Shakhter Karagandy – last 6

DWWWWW
17 Sepvs Taraz0–0D
11 Sep@ Jaiyq2–1W
3 Sepvs Khan Tengri4–0W
27 Aug@ Yelimay Semey 23–0W
21 Augvs Astana II4–0W
13 Aug@ Aktobe Jas6–1W
3.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Akademiya Ontustik – last 6

DWWWWD
17 Sepvs Jaiyq0–0D
10 Sep@ Yelimay Semey 21–0W
3 Sepvs Aktobe Jas2–1W
27 Aug@ Kaspij Aktau 22–1W
20 Augvs Ekibastuz3–2W
13 Aug@ Sport Academy Kairat0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Jul 2026Akademiya Ontustik v Shakhter Karagandy1–2
Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhter Karagandy262123+5665
2Sport Academy Kairat261961+5763
3Turan Turkistan261835+3357
4Akademiya Ontustik261349+443
5Astana II2612311+239
6Taraz261079+437
7Arys2610313-1133
8Jaiyq269512-932
9Khan Tengri269512-1332
10Kaspij Aktau 2268414-1228
11Ekibastuz267613-2527
12Aktobe Jas266614-3524
13Tobol 2266515-1323
14Yelimay Semey 2263320-3812

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?

Our pick is Shakhter Karagandy to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?

On our numbers Shakhter Karagandy have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Akademiya Ontustik 12%.

How many goals will there be in Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?

Our predicted score is Shakhter Karagandy 2–0 Akademiya Ontustik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik?

Shakhter Karagandy vs Akademiya Ontustik (1. Division) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Shakhter Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.