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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arys v Akademiya Ontustik: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Kazakhstan

Arys

WWWWL
1–0
FT
Arys 22%Draw 16%Akademiya Ontustik 62% Expected goals 1.07 – 2.00
62%
Betarazi pick

Akademiya Ontustik to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.74 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.74Odds

Picks by market

ResultAkademiya Ontustik to win ✗62% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.49
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arys welcome Akademiya Ontustik for a 1. Division fixture on Thursday 15 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Arys are 7th, upper half, on 33 points after 26 matches; Akademiya Ontustik are 4th (among the top four) with 43.

Current form

Arys, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Yelimay Semey 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Akademiya Ontustik, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shakhter Karagandy, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Akademiya Ontustik 1–2 Arys.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arys 1.1 xG, Akademiya Ontustik 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arys 22%, draw 16%, Akademiya Ontustik 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.49.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Akademiya Ontustik to win (62%, odds 1.74 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arys 1–2 Akademiya Ontustik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arys22%fair 4.46 · @3.54
Draw16%fair 6.33 · @3.93
Akademiya Ontustik62%fair 1.62 · @1.74
3.07Expected goals
1.07Arys xG
2.00Akademiya Ontustik xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Arys 1.1 – 2.0 Akademiya Ontustik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAkademiya Ontustik to win ✗62%1.621.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.49
Draw no betAkademiya Ontustik (draw no bet) ✗73%1.36–
Asian handicapArys +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreAkademiya Ontustik to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultAkademiya Ontustik ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Akademiya Ontustik / FT Akademiya Ontustik ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Arys – last 6

WWWWLD
8 Oct@ Yelimay Semey 23–2W
17 Sepvs Aktobe Jas4–1W
11 Sep@ Kaspij Aktau 22–1W
3 Sepvs Ekibastuz3–1W
27 Aug@ Sport Academy Kairat0–1L
20 Augvs Taraz1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Akademiya Ontustik – last 6

LDWWWW
8 Oct@ Shakhter Karagandy0–2L
17 Sepvs Jaiyq0–0D
10 Sep@ Yelimay Semey 21–0W
3 Sepvs Aktobe Jas2–1W
27 Aug@ Kaspij Aktau 22–1W
20 Augvs Ekibastuz3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jul 2026Akademiya Ontustik v Arys1–2
Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhter Karagandy262123+5665
2Sport Academy Kairat261961+5763
3Turan Turkistan261835+3357
4Akademiya Ontustik261349+443
5Astana II2612311+239
6Taraz261079+437
7Arys2610313-1133
8Jaiyq269512-932
9Khan Tengri269512-1332
10Kaspij Aktau 2268414-1228
11Ekibastuz267613-2527
12Aktobe Jas266614-3524
13Tobol 2266515-1323
14Yelimay Semey 2263320-3812

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik?

Our pick is Akademiya Ontustik to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.

Who will win Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik?

On our numbers Arys have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Akademiya Ontustik 62%.

How many goals will there be in Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik?

Our predicted score is Arys 1–2 Akademiya Ontustik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik?

Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik (1. Division) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.