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Turan Turkistan v Shakhter Karagandy: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Kazakhstan · Turkestan Arena
Turan Turkistan 43%Draw 22%Shakhter Karagandy 36% Expected goals 1.64 – 1.49
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.77 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.77Odds

Picks by market

ResultTuran Turkistan to win ✓43% · @7.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40

Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Friday 16 October: Turan Turkistan v Shakhter Karagandy in the 1. Division, played at Turkestan Arena. In the table, Turan Turkistan are 3rd, among the top four, on 57 points after 26 matches; Shakhter Karagandy are 1st (leading the league) with 65.

Current form

Turan Turkistan, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jaiyq, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Shakhter Karagandy, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Akademiya Ontustik, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Shakhter Karagandy, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Turan Turkistan.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Shakhter Karagandy 1–0 Turan Turkistan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Turan Turkistan 1.6 xG, Shakhter Karagandy 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Turan Turkistan 43%, draw 22%, Shakhter Karagandy 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.77 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turan Turkistan 1–1 Shakhter Karagandy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Turan Turkistan43%fair 2.35 · @7.95
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @5.10
Shakhter Karagandy36%fair 2.79 · @1.27
3.13Expected goals
1.64Turan Turkistan xG
1.49Shakhter Karagandy xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Turan Turkistan 1.6 – 1.5 Shakhter Karagandy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTuran Turkistan to win ✓43%2.357.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.28–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.77 ▲
Draw no betTuran Turkistan (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapShakhter Karagandy +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.631.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreTuran Turkistan to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Turan Turkistan / FT Turan Turkistan ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

Turan Turkistan – last 6

DWWWWL
9 Oct@ Jaiyq1–1D
18 Sepvs Yelimay Semey 24–1W
10 Sep@ Aktobe Jas3–1W
4 Sep@ Kaspij Aktau 23–0W
27 Aug@ Ekibastuz4–2W
21 Augvs Sport Academy Kairat0–4L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Shakhter Karagandy – last 6

WDWWWW
8 Octvs Akademiya Ontustik2–0W
17 Sepvs Taraz0–0D
11 Sep@ Jaiyq2–1W
3 Sepvs Khan Tengri4–0W
27 Aug@ Yelimay Semey 23–0W
21 Augvs Astana II4–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jul 2026Shakhter Karagandy v Turan Turkistan1–0
Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhter Karagandy262123+5665
2Sport Academy Kairat261961+5763
3Turan Turkistan261835+3357
4Akademiya Ontustik261349+443
5Astana II2612311+239
6Taraz261079+437
7Arys2610313-1133
8Jaiyq269512-932
9Khan Tengri269512-1332
10Kaspij Aktau 2268414-1228
11Ekibastuz267613-2527
12Aktobe Jas266614-3524
13Tobol 2266515-1323
14Yelimay Semey 2263320-3812

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.

Who will win Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy?

On our numbers Turan Turkistan have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shakhter Karagandy 36%.

How many goals will there be in Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Our predicted score is Turan Turkistan 1–1 Shakhter Karagandy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.