Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✗53% · @1.87
Double chanceChelyabinsk or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.08
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Chelyabinsk vs Chernomorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chernomorets travel to face Chelyabinsk on Friday 3 April in the First League, with Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Current form
Chelyabinsk, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chayka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chernomorets, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Rotor Volgograd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.6 xG, Chernomorets 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 53%, draw 27%, Chernomorets 21%.
Lower-risk option: Chelyabinsk or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.08.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 1–1 Chernomorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelyabinsk53%fair 1.90 · @1.87
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.18
Chernomorets21%fair 4.83 · @4.35
2.59Expected goals
1.58Chelyabinsk xG
1.02Chernomorets xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.6 – 1.0 Chernomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chelyabinsk
Chernomorets
Attack vs First League average
+2%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.67
1.26
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✗
53%
1.90
1.87
Double chance
Chelyabinsk or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
2.08 ▲
Draw no bet
Chelyabinsk (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Chernomorets +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Chelyabinsk to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LLDDWW
29 Mar
@ Chayka
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–3
D
28 Feb
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zenit 2
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chernomorets – last 3
LWL
29 Mar
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–4
L
7 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and Chernomorets.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Chernomorets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Chernomorets?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chernomorets 21%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Chernomorets?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Chernomorets?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 Chernomorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Chernomorets?
Chelyabinsk vs Chernomorets (First League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
