Paris Saint Germain 59%Draw 21%Liverpool 20%Expected goals 2.22 – 1.29
80%
Betarazi pick
Paris Saint Germain or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓59% · @1.71
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liverpool travel to face Paris Saint Germain on Wednesday 8 April in the UEFA Champions League, with Parc des Princes the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Paris Saint Germain are 1st, leading the league, on 12 points after 4 matches; Liverpool are 8th (upper half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Toulouse, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Liverpool, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Manchester City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paris Saint Germain, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Liverpool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris Saint Germain 2.2 xG, Liverpool 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris Saint Germain 59%, draw 21%, Liverpool 20%.
Lower-risk option: Paris Saint Germain or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paris Saint Germain or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Liverpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris Saint Germain59%fair 1.71 · @1.71
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.10
Liverpool20%fair 4.88 · @4.10
3.51Expected goals
2.22Paris Saint Germain xG
1.29Liverpool xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.2 – 1.3 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
59%
1.71
1.71
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Liverpool +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWLDW
3 Apr
vs Toulouse
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Chelsea
3–0
W
11 Mar
vs Chelsea
5–2
W
6 Mar
vs Monaco
1–3
L
25 Feb
vs Monaco
2–2
D
17 Feb
@ Monaco
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
LWDLWL
4 Apr
@ Manchester City
0–4
L
18 Mar
vs Galatasaray
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Galatasaray
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Wolves
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Wolves
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris Saint Germain and Liverpool.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Liverpool 20%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
