Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Paysandu to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPaysandu to win ✓41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Paysandu vs Miramar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Miramar travel to face Paysandu on Friday 27 March in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Miramar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 30.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.3 xG, Miramar 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 41%, draw 27%, Miramar 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Paysandu to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu41%fair 2.42 · @2.65
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Miramar32%fair 3.13 · @2.50
2.22Expected goals
1.28Paysandu xG
0.94Miramar xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.3 – 0.9 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Paysandu
Miramar
Attack vs Segunda División average
+11%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.48
0.87
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✓
41%
2.42
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.93
Draw no bet
Paysandu (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Miramar +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Paysandu to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.93
–
Recent results
Paysandu – last 1
L
13 Mar
vs Colón
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Miramar
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Miramar.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paysandu vs Miramar?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Miramar 32%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Miramar?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Miramar?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Miramar?
Paysandu vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
