Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Atenas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtenas to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceAtenas or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Wednesday 1 April: Atenas v Uruguay Montevideo in the Segunda División. In the table, Atenas are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 25 matches; Uruguay Montevideo are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.6 xG, Uruguay Montevideo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 55%, draw 28%, Uruguay Montevideo 17%.
Lower-risk option: Atenas or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Atenas to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 2–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atenas55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.95
Uruguay Montevideo17%fair 5.89 · @3.95
2.28Expected goals
1.55Atenas xG
0.73Uruguay Montevideo xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.6 – 0.7 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
Attack vs Segunda División average
+3%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.54
0.68
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Atenas or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Atenas (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Uruguay Montevideo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Atenas to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Atenas
No recent results on record.
Uruguay Montevideo – last 2
DD
22 Mar
vs Sportivo Huracan
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Fenix
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Uruguay Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Atenas have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Uruguay Montevideo 17%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Atenas 2–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
