Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Smail vs Al-Shabab: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 10 April the Professional League brings Smail against Al-Shabab. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Smail are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; Al-Shabab are 2nd (among the top four) with 12.
Current form
Smail, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Seeb, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Al-Shabab, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Nasr, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al-Shabab, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.6 for Smail.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smail 1.0 xG, Al-Shabab 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smail 16%, draw 23%, Al-Shabab 61%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smail 1–2 Al-Shabab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smail16%fair 6.06 · @4.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Al-Shabab61%fair 1.65 · @1.73
3.07Expected goals
1.03Smail xG
2.04Al-Shabab xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–210%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Smail 1.0 – 2.0 Al-Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Shabab to win✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Double chance
Al-Shabab or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Shabab (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Al-Shabab -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Al-Shabab to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Al-Shabab ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Smail – last 5
LDWDW
5 Apr
@ Al Seeb
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Dhofar
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Al-Rustaq
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Sur
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Saham
4–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Al-Shabab – last 5
LWWWW
16 Mar
@ Al Nasr
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Sohar
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Al-Nahda
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al-Khabourah
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibri
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smail and Al-Shabab.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Smail vs Al-Shabab?
On our numbers Smail have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Shabab 61%.
How many goals will there be in Smail vs Al-Shabab?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smail vs Al-Shabab?
Our predicted score is Smail 1–2 Al-Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Smail vs Al-Shabab?
Smail vs Al-Shabab (Professional League) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Khabourah0