Al-Shabab vs Saham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 April the Professional League brings Al-Shabab against Saham. Kick-off: 17:20 WAT. In the table, Al-Shabab are 2nd, among the top four, on 12 points after 5 matches; Saham are 5th (upper half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al-Shabab, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Al Kuwait, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Saham, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al Seeb, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al-Shabab, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.4 for Saham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Shabab 2.1 xG, Saham 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Shabab 66%, draw 21%, Saham 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Shabab 2–0 Saham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Shabab66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.10
Saham13%fair 7.96 · @6.60
2.82Expected goals
2.06Al-Shabab xG
0.77Saham xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Shabab 2.1 – 0.8 Saham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Shabab to win✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Double chance
Al-Shabab or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Al-Shabab (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Al-Shabab -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Al-Shabab to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Al-Shabab ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Al-Shabab – last 6
LWLWWW
19 Apr
vs Al Kuwait
3–5
L
10 Apr
@ Smail
7–0
W
16 Mar
@ Al Nasr
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Sohar
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Al-Nahda
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al-Khabourah
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Saham – last 5
LDDLL
10 Apr
vs Al Seeb
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Al-Rustaq
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Sur
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Smail
0–4
L
16 Feb
@ Bahla
1–4
L
0.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Shabab and Saham.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs Saham?
On our numbers Al-Shabab have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Saham 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Shabab vs Saham?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Shabab vs Saham?
Our predicted score is Al-Shabab 2–0 Saham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al-Shabab vs Saham?
Al-Shabab vs Saham (Professional League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 17:20 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
