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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ouakam v HLM: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Senegal

Ouakam

WDDD
1–0
FT

HLM

WDD
Ouakam 42%Draw 32%HLM 26% Expected goals 0.99 – 0.76
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultOuakam to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceOuakam or draw ✓74% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.79

Ouakam vs HLM: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ouakam welcome HLM for a Ligue 1 fixture on Wednesday 25 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, Ouakam are 14th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 4 matches; HLM are 2nd (among the top four) with 10.

Current form

Ouakam, last 4: WDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AS Camberene, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

HLM, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over DSC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ouakam 1.0 xG, HLM 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ouakam 42%, draw 32%, HLM 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ouakam or draw (74%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ouakam 0–0 HLM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ouakam42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
Draw32%fair 3.17 · @2.40
HLM26%fair 3.83 · @4.33
1.75Expected goals
0.99Ouakam xG
0.76HLM xG
38%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%

From our goals model: Ouakam 1.0 – 0.8 HLM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOuakam to win ✓42%2.362.15
Double chanceOuakam or draw ✓74%1.351.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓62%1.60–
Draw no betOuakam (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapHLM +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76%1.311.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreOuakam to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.79–

Recent results

Ouakam – last 4

WDDD
15 Mar@ AS Camberene1–0W
8 Marvs Casa Sport0–0D
1 Mar@ Jaraaf0–0D
16 Feb@ Sonacos0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

HLM – last 3

WDD
15 Mar@ DSC1–0W
8 Marvs AS Camberene1–1D
22 Febvs Jaraaf0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ouakam and HLM.

Ouakam vs HLM head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gorée4310+510
2HLM4310+310
3Jaraaf4220+38
4Guédiawaye4220+28
5AJEL4130+16
6Génération Foot4121+25
7Diambars412105
8Teungueth311104
9Wally Daan411204
10Stade de Mbour4031-13
11DSC4031-13
12Casa Sport4031-23
13Pikine4031-33
14Ouakam4103-43
15Essamaye4022-22
16La Linguère3012-31

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ouakam vs HLM?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ouakam vs HLM?

On our numbers Ouakam have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and HLM 26%.

How many goals will there be in Ouakam vs HLM?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ouakam vs HLM?

Our predicted score is Ouakam 0–0 HLM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Ouakam vs HLM?

Ouakam vs HLM (Ligue 1) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.