Victoria vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Victoria welcome CD Motagua for a Liga Nacional fixture on Friday 17 April (02:30 WAT).
Current form
Victoria, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Atlético Choloma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
CD Motagua, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CD Olimpia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Victoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Victoria 0.9 xG, CD Motagua 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria 18%, draw 23%, CD Motagua 59%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria 1–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Victoria18%fair 5.62 · @5.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.95
CD Motagua59%fair 1.68 · @1.50
2.79Expected goals
0.94Victoria xG
1.85CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Victoria 0.9 – 1.9 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Victoria +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
CD Motagua ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Victoria – last 6
LLWLLL
14 Apr
vs Atlético Choloma
2–5
L
9 Apr
@ CD Olimpia
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Lobos Upnfm
3–2
W
16 Mar
vs Platense FC
2–3
L
12 Mar
@ Real Espana
1–4
L
1 Mar
@ Juticalpa
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 6
LLWDWW
13 Apr
vs CD Olimpia
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ CD Marathon
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Génesis
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Real Espana
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Platense FC
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Lobos Upnfm
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for Victoria vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Victoria vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Victoria have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Motagua 59%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Victoria 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Victoria vs CD Motagua?
Victoria vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
