CD Marathon vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 10 April the Liga Nacional brings CD Marathon against CD Motagua at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, CD Marathon are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
CD Marathon, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Espana, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
CD Motagua, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Génesis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for CD Marathon.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended CD Motagua 1–1 CD Marathon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Marathon 1.2 xG, CD Motagua 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Marathon 33%, draw 28%, CD Motagua 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Marathon 1–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Marathon33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.20
CD Motagua39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
2.38Expected goals
1.15CD Marathon xG
1.23CD Motagua xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.2 – 1.2 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CD Marathon vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and CD Motagua 39%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs CD Motagua?
CD Marathon vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
