Victoria 42%Draw 25%Atlético Choloma 34%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.38
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultVictoria to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Victoria vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Choloma travel to face Victoria on Tuesday 14 April in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Victoria, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CD Olimpia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Atlético Choloma, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Real Espana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atlético Choloma, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Victoria.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Atlético Choloma 2–1 Victoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Victoria 1.6 xG, Atlético Choloma 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria 42%, draw 25%, Atlético Choloma 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria 1–1 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Victoria42%fair 2.41 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
Atlético Choloma34%fair 2.95 · @2.90
2.94Expected goals
1.55Victoria xG
1.38Atlético Choloma xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Victoria 1.6 – 1.4 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Victoria vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Victoria vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers Victoria have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Choloma 34%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is Victoria 1–1 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Victoria vs Atlético Choloma?
Victoria vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
