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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Platense FC v Lobos Upnfm: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Excelsior
Sun 19 Apr 2026
Platense FC 41%Draw 23%Lobos Upnfm 35% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.52
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Lobos Upnfm to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultPlatense FC to win41% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.91

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Platense FC v Lobos Upnfm in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Excelsior. In the table, Platense FC are 11th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Platense FC, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juticalpa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Lobos Upnfm, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Espana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Platense FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Platense FC 1.3 xG, Lobos Upnfm 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Platense FC 41%, draw 23%, Lobos Upnfm 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Lobos Upnfm to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platense FC 1–1 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Platense FC41%fair 2.43 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.45
Lobos Upnfm35%fair 2.82 · @3.40
2.85Expected goals
1.32Platense FC xG
1.52Lobos Upnfm xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%

From our goals model: Platense FC 1.3 – 1.5 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlatense FC to win41%2.431.91
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.691.65
Draw no betPlatense FC (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapPlatense FC +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals53%1.881.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals68%1.461.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.19–
First team to scoreLobos Upnfm to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lobos Upnfm / FT Lobos Upnfm25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.91–

Recent results

Platense FC – last 6

DLLLWL
16 Apr@ Juticalpa1–1D
8 Aprvs Génesis0–1L
2 Apr@ Atlético Choloma0–1L
19 Marvs CD Motagua0–1L
16 Mar@ Victoria3–2W
13 Marvs CD Olimpia1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lobos Upnfm – last 6

DLDWLL
13 Aprvs Real Espana1–1D
6 Apr@ Victoria2–3L
3 Apr@ CD Olimpia0–0D
24 Marvs Olancho2–1W
21 Marvs Atlético Choloma1–2L
12 Mar@ CD Motagua0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Lobos Upnfm v Platense FC1–0
Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm?

On our numbers Platense FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lobos Upnfm 35%.

How many goals will there be in Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our predicted score is Platense FC 1–1 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm?

Platense FC vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Excelsior.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.