CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Thursday 23 April: CD Olimpia v CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. In the table, CD Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
CD Olimpia, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atlético Choloma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
CD Marathon, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CD Motagua, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CD Olimpia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for CD Marathon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Olimpia 1.7 xG, CD Marathon 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Olimpia 53%, draw 26%, CD Marathon 20%.
Lower-risk option: CD Olimpia or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Olimpia 1–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Olimpia53%fair 1.87 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.95
CD Marathon20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
2.62Expected goals
1.70CD Olimpia xG
0.92CD Marathon xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 1.7 – 0.9 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Olimpia to win✓
53%
1.87
1.95
Double chance
CD Olimpia or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Draw no bet
CD Olimpia (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
CD Marathon +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
CD Olimpia to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
CD Olimpia – last 6
WWWDWD
19 Apr
@ Atlético Choloma
3–1
W
13 Apr
@ CD Motagua
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Victoria
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Lobos Upnfm
0–0
D
23 Mar
@ Juticalpa
6–1
W
19 Mar
vs Olancho
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CD Marathon – last 6
WLWDLD
10 Apr
vs CD Motagua
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Real Espana
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Juticalpa
4–0
W
11 Mar
@ Atlético Choloma
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Génesis
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Olancho
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Olimpia and CD Marathon.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CD Marathon 20%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
