Olancho vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Friday 24 April: Olancho v CD Motagua in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Olancho, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Victoria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CD Motagua, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juticalpa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended CD Motagua 1–1 Olancho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.2 xG, CD Motagua 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 37%, draw 29%, CD Motagua 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olancho37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.20
CD Motagua34%fair 2.92 · @2.90
2.36Expected goals
1.16Olancho xG
1.20CD Motagua xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.2 – 1.2 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olancho vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Olancho have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and CD Motagua 34%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs CD Motagua?
Olancho vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.