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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Platense FC v Olancho: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Excelsior
Sun 26 Apr 2026

Olancho

DWWWL
Platense FC 29%Draw 24%Olancho 48% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.70
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Olancho to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultOlancho to win48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.38

Platense FC vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Olancho travel to face Platense FC on Sunday 26 April in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Excelsior the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Platense FC are 11th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Platense FC, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Espana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Olancho, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CD Motagua, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Olancho, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Platense FC.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Olancho 2–1 Platense FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Platense FC 1.1 xG, Olancho 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Platense FC 29%, draw 24%, Olancho 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Olancho to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platense FC 1–1 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Platense FC29%fair 3.50 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.35
Olancho48%fair 2.10 · @2.25
2.83Expected goals
1.13Platense FC xG
1.70Olancho xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: Platense FC 1.1 – 1.7 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlancho to win48%2.102.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.721.62
Draw no betOlancho (draw no bet)62%1.60–
Asian handicapPlatense FC +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.19–
First team to scoreOlancho to score first57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olancho / FT Olancho31%3.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.38–

Recent results

Platense FC – last 6

LDLLLW
23 Apr@ Real Espana0–2L
16 Apr@ Juticalpa1–1D
8 Aprvs Génesis0–1L
2 Apr@ Atlético Choloma0–1L
19 Marvs CD Motagua0–1L
16 Mar@ Victoria3–2W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Olancho – last 6

DWWWLD
24 Aprvs CD Motagua0–0D
20 Aprvs Victoria1–0W
9 Apr@ Juticalpa4–0W
5 Aprvs Atlético Choloma3–1W
24 Mar@ Lobos Upnfm1–2L
19 Mar@ CD Olimpia0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Olancho v Platense FC2–1
Platense FC vs Olancho head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Platense FC vs Olancho?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Platense FC vs Olancho?

On our numbers Platense FC have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olancho 48%.

How many goals will there be in Platense FC vs Olancho?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Platense FC vs Olancho?

Our predicted score is Platense FC 1–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Platense FC vs Olancho?

Platense FC vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Excelsior.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.