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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zenit v Spartak Moscow: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Gazprom Arena

Zenit

WWWLW
0–0
–Pens 6–6
Zenit 53%Draw 25%Spartak Moscow 23% Expected goals 1.73 – 1.15
77%
Betarazi pick

Zenit or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.27Odds

Picks by market

ResultZenit to win ✗53% · @1.92
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Zenit vs Spartak Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:45 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Zenit v Spartak Moscow in the Cup, played at Gazprom Arena.

Current form

Zenit, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Krylia Sovetov, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Spartak Moscow, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zenit 1.7 xG, Spartak Moscow 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit 53%, draw 25%, Spartak Moscow 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Zenit or draw (77%) at 1.27.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.76.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Zenit or draw (77%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit 1–1 Spartak Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zenit53%fair 1.89 · @1.92
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.68
Spartak Moscow23%fair 4.42 · @4.05
2.88Expected goals
1.73Zenit xG
1.15Spartak Moscow xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Zenit 1.7 – 1.2 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZenit to win ✗53%1.891.92
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓77%1.291.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.76
Draw no betZenit (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapSpartak Moscow +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.92
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.08
First team to scoreZenit to score first ✗57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zenit / FT Zenit ✗31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Zenit – last 6

WWWLWW
4 Aprvs Krylia Sovetov2–1W
22 Mar@ Dynamo3–1W
18 Marvs Dinamo Makhachkala1–0W
8 Mar@ FC Orenburg1–2L
3 Mar@ Baltika1–0W
27 Febvs Baltika1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Spartak Moscow – last 6

WWWWLW
5 Aprvs Lokomotiv2–1W
22 Mar@ FC Orenburg2–0W
18 Marvs Dynamo1–0W
9 Marvs Akron4–3W
5 Mar@ Dynamo2–5L
2 Mar@ FC Sochi3–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zenit and Spartak Moscow.

Zenit vs Spartak Moscow head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?

Our pick is Zenit or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?

On our numbers Zenit have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Moscow 23%.

How many goals will there be in Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?

Our predicted score is Zenit 1–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Zenit vs Spartak Moscow?

Zenit vs Spartak Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.