Al Najma vs Budaiya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Najma welcome Budaiya for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 16 April (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Al Najma, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Shabab, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Budaiya, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al-Hidd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Najma, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Budaiya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.5 xG, Budaiya 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 43%, draw 25%, Budaiya 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–1 Budaiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma43%fair 2.31 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Budaiya32%fair 3.17 · @3.30
2.75Expected goals
1.49Al Najma xG
1.26Budaiya xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.5 – 1.3 Budaiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✗
43%
2.31
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Draw no bet
Al Najma (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Budaiya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Al Najma to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Al Najma – last 3
DWL
2 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al-Hidd
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Al Ahli
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Budaiya – last 3
LLL
3 Apr
vs Al-Hidd
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Sitra
0–3
L
19 Feb
vs Al Riffa
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Budaiya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al Najma vs Budaiya?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Budaiya 32%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Budaiya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Budaiya?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 Budaiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Budaiya?
Al Najma vs Budaiya (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
