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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Muharraq v Budaiya: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Bahrain
1–0
FT
Muharraq 68%Draw 20%Budaiya 12% Expected goals 1.99 – 0.79
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMuharraq to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceMuharraq or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Muharraq vs Budaiya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Muharraq v Budaiya in the Premier League.

Current form

Muharraq, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Riffa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Budaiya, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Najma, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Muharraq, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Budaiya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Muharraq 2.0 xG, Budaiya 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Muharraq 68%, draw 20%, Budaiya 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muharraq 1–0 Budaiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Muharraq68%fair 1.47 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.75
Budaiya12%fair 8.53 · @11.00
2.78Expected goals
1.99Muharraq xG
0.79Budaiya xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Muharraq 2.0 – 0.8 Budaiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMuharraq to win ✓68%1.471.25
Double chanceMuharraq or draw ✓88%1.131.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.93 ▲
Draw no betMuharraq (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapMuharraq -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.22
First team to scoreMuharraq to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultMuharraq ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Muharraq / FT Muharraq ✗42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Muharraq – last 6

WWWLLW
24 Aprvs Al Riffa2–1W
16 Apr@ Al-Hidd1–0W
3 Aprvs Sitra3–0W
18 Marvs Khalidiya0–3L
12 Mar@ Al Riffa0–1L
27 Febvs Al Shabab3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Budaiya – last 4

WLLL
16 Apr@ Al Najma2–1W
3 Aprvs Al-Hidd0–2L
12 Mar@ Sitra0–3L
19 Febvs Al Riffa0–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Muharraq and Budaiya.

Muharraq vs Budaiya head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Riffa7430+1115
2Khalidiya7430+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7421+514
4Muharraq7322+411
5Al Ahli723209
6East Riffa7223-58
7Sitra7223-28
8Al Najma7223-48
9A'Ali7223-38
10Al-Hidd714207
11Manama7133-56
12Malkiya7025-112

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Muharraq vs Budaiya?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Muharraq vs Budaiya?

On our numbers Muharraq have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Budaiya 12%.

How many goals will there be in Muharraq vs Budaiya?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Muharraq vs Budaiya?

Our predicted score is Muharraq 1–0 Budaiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Muharraq vs Budaiya?

Muharraq vs Budaiya (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.