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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gwelup Croatia v Murdoch Melville: numbers & prediction

Western Australia State League 1 · Australia · Croatian Sports Centre
2–2
FT
Gwelup Croatia 51%Draw 20%Murdoch Melville 29% Expected goals 1.98 – 1.54
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGwelup Croatia to win ✗51% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19

Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 9 May the Western Australia State League 1 brings Gwelup Croatia against Murdoch Melville at Croatian Sports Centre. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT.

Current form

Gwelup Croatia, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Cockburn City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Murdoch Melville, last 4: WDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Subiaco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gwelup Croatia 2.0 xG, Murdoch Melville 1.5 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gwelup Croatia 51%, draw 20%, Murdoch Melville 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gwelup Croatia 2–1 Murdoch Melville. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gwelup Croatia51%fair 1.96 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.75
Murdoch Melville29%fair 3.48 · @3.00
3.52Expected goals
1.98Gwelup Croatia xG
1.54Murdoch Melville xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Gwelup Croatia 2.0 – 1.5 Murdoch Melville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGwelup Croatia to win ✗51%1.961.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betGwelup Croatia (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapMurdoch Melville +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
First team to scoreGwelup Croatia to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultGwelup Croatia ahead at half-time ✗38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gwelup Croatia / FT Gwelup Croatia ✗30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.19–

Recent results

Gwelup Croatia – last 5

DWWDL
6 Mayvs Cockburn City4–4D
25 Apr@ Inglewood United1–0W
2 Apr@ Curtin University1–0W
28 Marvs UWA Nedlands1–1D
21 Marvs Joondalup City1–3L
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Murdoch Melville – last 4

WDDD
25 Aprvs Subiaco2–1W
4 Aprvs Quinns FC1–1D
28 Mar@ Inglewood United1–1D
21 Mar@ Cockburn City2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gwelup Croatia and Murdoch Melville.

Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville head-to-head page →

More Western Australia State League 1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?

On our numbers Gwelup Croatia have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Murdoch Melville 29%.

How many goals will there be in Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?

Our predicted score is Gwelup Croatia 2–1 Murdoch Melville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville?

Gwelup Croatia vs Murdoch Melville (Western Australia State League 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Croatian Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.