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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nublense v U. Catolica: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas
1–0
FT
Nublense 31%Draw 25%U. Catolica 44% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.53
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: U. Catolica to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultU. Catolica to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Nublense vs U. Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

U. Catolica travel to face Nublense on Wednesday 25 March in the , with Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT.

Current form

Nublense, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cobresal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

U. Catolica, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Everton de Vina, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended Nublense 1–2 U. Catolica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.2 xG, U. Catolica 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 31%, draw 25%, U. Catolica 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: U. Catolica to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 1–1 U. Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nublense31%fair 3.20 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.20
U. Catolica44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
2.70Expected goals
1.16Nublense xG
1.53U. Catolica xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Nublense 1.2 – 1.5 U. Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NublenseU. Catolica
Attack vs average+3%+22%
Goals conceded vs average-18%-3%
Our expected goals here1.181.74

Our own ratings from every result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultU. Catolica to win ✗44%2.292.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.70
Draw no betU. Catolica (draw no bet) ✗58%1.72–
Asian handicapNublense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreU. Catolica to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT U. Catolica / FT U. Catolica ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

Nublense – last 6

DDWLWW
22 Mar@ Cobresal1–1D
16 Marvs D. La Serena2–2D
7 Mar@ Concepción2–0W
2 Marvs U. Catolica1–2L
20 Feb@ Union La Calera1–0W
15 Febvs A. Italiano1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

U. Catolica – last 5

DLWWL
15 Marvs Everton de Vina2–2D
8 Mar@ O'Higgins0–1L
2 Mar@ Nublense2–1W
22 Febvs Coquimbo Unido3–1W
15 Feb@ Cobresal2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Mar 2026Nublense v U. Catolica1–2
Nublense vs U. Catolica head-to-head page →

More predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nublense vs U. Catolica?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Nublense vs U. Catolica?

On our numbers Nublense have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and U. Catolica 44%.

How many goals will there be in Nublense vs U. Catolica?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nublense vs U. Catolica?

Our predicted score is Nublense 1–1 U. Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Nublense vs U. Catolica?

Nublense vs U. Catolica () kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.