A. Italiano vs D. La Serena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
A. Italiano welcome D. La Serena to Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida for a fixture on Thursday 26 March (00:30 WAT).
Current form
A. Italiano, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Union La Calera, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
D. La Serena, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Universidad de Chile, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give A. Italiano 1.3 xG, D. La Serena 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – A. Italiano 42%, draw 27%, D. La Serena 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: A. Italiano 1–1 D. La Serena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
A. Italiano42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.20
D. La Serena31%fair 3.18 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.32A. Italiano xG
1.15D. La Serena xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.3 – 1.2 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
Attack vs average
+9%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.19
Our own ratings from every result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
A. Italiano to win✓
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
A. Italiano (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
D. La Serena +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
A. Italiano to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT A. Italiano / FT A. Italiano✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.83
–
Recent results
A. Italiano – last 5
WWLWL
21 Mar
@ Union La Calera
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Concepción
3–0
W
28 Feb
@ Union La Calera
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Everton de Vina
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nublense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
D. La Serena – last 5
DDWWD
20 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Nublense
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Union La Calera
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Cobresal
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between A. Italiano and D. La Serena.
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and D. La Serena 31%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
A. Italiano vs D. La Serena () kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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