Glentoran vs Larne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 17 April: Glentoran v Larne in the Premiership, played at The BetMcLean Oval. In the table, Glentoran are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; Larne are 3rd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Glentoran, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cliftonville FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Larne, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Coleraine FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Glentoran, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.4 for Larne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Glentoran 1.3 xG, Larne 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Glentoran 41%, draw 28%, Larne 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Glentoran 1–1 Larne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Glentoran41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.10
Larne31%fair 3.19 · @3.30
2.34Expected goals
1.26Glentoran xG
1.08Larne xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Glentoran 1.3 – 1.1 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Glentoran
Larne
Attack vs Premiership average
-12%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
-43%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.11
0.97
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Glentoran to win✗
41%
2.46
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Glentoran (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Larne +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Glentoran to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Glentoran / FT Glentoran✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Glentoran – last 6
WWDWWW
7 Apr
@ Cliftonville FC
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Cliftonville FC
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Linfield
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Bangor
4–0
W
3 Mar
vs Carrick Rangers
1–0
W
24 Feb
@ Cliftonville FC
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Larne – last 5
LWWDL
7 Apr
vs Coleraine FC
1–4
L
20 Mar
@ Glenavon FC
3–0
W
13 Mar
vs Dungannon Swifts
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Linfield
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Carrick Rangers
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Glentoran and Larne.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Glentoran vs Larne?
On our numbers Glentoran have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Larne 31%.
How many goals will there be in Glentoran vs Larne?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Glentoran vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Glentoran 1–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Glentoran vs Larne?
Glentoran vs Larne (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The BetMcLean Oval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
