Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAstrakhan to win ✗55% · @1.46
Double chanceAstrakhan or draw ✗79% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Astrakhan v Spartak Nalchik in the Second League Group 1, played at Stadium Named after A.I. Kolosov. In the table, Astrakhan are 11th, lower half, on 20 points after 20 matches; Spartak Nalchik are 8th (upper half) with 28.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Astrakhan 1.6 xG, Spartak Nalchik 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Astrakhan 55%, draw 24%, Spartak Nalchik 21%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Astrakhan 1–1 Spartak Nalchik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Astrakhan55%fair 1.80 · @1.46
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
Spartak Nalchik21%fair 4.79 · @6.35
2.72Expected goals
1.60Astrakhan xG
1.12Spartak Nalchik xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Astrakhan 1.6 – 1.1 Spartak Nalchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Astrakhan to win✗
55%
1.80
1.46
Double chance
Astrakhan or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Astrakhan (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Nalchik +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Astrakhan to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Astrakhan / FT Astrakhan✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Astrakhan – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Kaluga
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Spartak Nalchik
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Astrakhan and Spartak Nalchik.
What is the prediction for Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik?
On our numbers Astrakhan have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Nalchik 21%.
How many goals will there be in Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik?
Our predicted score is Astrakhan 1–1 Spartak Nalchik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik?
Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Named after A.I. Kolosov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
