Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSevastopol to win ✓66% · @1.29
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.11
Sevastopol vs Pobeda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 13 June the Second League Group 1 brings Sevastopol against Pobeda at Sportyvnyj Kompleks. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sevastopol are 1st, leading the league, on 50 points after 21 matches; Pobeda are 5th (upper half) with 33. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sevastopol, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nart Cherkessk, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pobeda, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Shahter Taganrog, away. The attack is flying at 2.4 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sevastopol, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Pobeda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevastopol 2.1 xG, Pobeda 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevastopol 66%, draw 20%, Pobeda 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevastopol 2–0 Pobeda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevastopol66%fair 1.51 · @1.29
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.15
Pobeda13%fair 7.46 · @10.50
3.01Expected goals
2.10Sevastopol xG
0.92Pobeda xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sevastopol 2.1 – 0.9 Pobeda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevastopol to win✓
66%
1.51
1.29
Double chance
Sevastopol or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Sevastopol (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Sevastopol -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sevastopol to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sevastopol ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Sevastopol – last 5
WDWLW
6 Jun
@ Nart Cherkessk
1–0
W
30 May
vs Druzhba
0–0
D
23 May
@ Kyzyltash
2–0
W
8 May
@ Rubin Yalta
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Lugansk
4–1
W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Pobeda – last 5
LWWLL
30 May
@ Shahter Taganrog
1–3
L
23 May
vs Izberbash
7–0
W
8 May
vs Dynamo Makhachkala II
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Spartak Nalchik
1–4
L
28 Mar
vs Angust Nazran
0–1
L
2.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevastopol and Pobeda.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Sevastopol vs Pobeda?
On our numbers Sevastopol have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pobeda 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sevastopol vs Pobeda?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevastopol vs Pobeda?
Our predicted score is Sevastopol 2–0 Pobeda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sevastopol vs Pobeda?
Sevastopol vs Pobeda (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportyvnyj Kompleks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
