Astrakhan vs Sevastopol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Astrakhan welcome Sevastopol to Stadium Named after A.I. Kolosov for a Second League Group 1 fixture on Saturday 20 June (15:30 WAT). In the table, Astrakhan are 11th, lower half, on 20 points after 20 matches; Sevastopol are 1st (leading the league) with 50. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Astrakhan, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over PSK Dinskaya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sevastopol, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pobeda, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sevastopol, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Astrakhan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Astrakhan 0.9 xG, Sevastopol 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Astrakhan 17%, draw 24%, Sevastopol 59%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Astrakhan 0–2 Sevastopol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Astrakhan17%fair 5.89 · @4.90
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.52
Sevastopol59%fair 1.71 · @1.60
2.66Expected goals
0.88Astrakhan xG
1.78Sevastopol xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Astrakhan 0.9 – 1.8 Sevastopol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevastopol to win✓
59%
1.71
1.60
Double chance
Sevastopol or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.90
1.90
Draw no bet
Sevastopol (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Astrakhan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sevastopol to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Sevastopol ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Astrakhan – last 6
WLWWLL
13 Jun
@ PSK Dinskaya
4–1
W
6 Jun
vs Shahter Taganrog
0–3
L
24 May
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
2–0
W
8 May
vs Izberbash
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Angust Nazran
0–1
L
28 Mar
vs Spartak Nalchik
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sevastopol – last 6
WWDWLW
13 Jun
vs Pobeda
2–1
W
6 Jun
@ Nart Cherkessk
1–0
W
30 May
vs Druzhba
0–0
D
23 May
@ Kyzyltash
2–0
W
8 May
@ Rubin Yalta
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Lugansk
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Astrakhan and Sevastopol.
What is the prediction for Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
On our numbers Astrakhan have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sevastopol 59%.
How many goals will there be in Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
Our predicted score is Astrakhan 0–2 Sevastopol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Astrakhan vs Sevastopol?
Astrakhan vs Sevastopol (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Named after A.I. Kolosov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
