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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sevastopol v Astrakhan: numbers & prediction

Second League Group 1 · Russia · Sportyvnyj Kompleks
3–4
FT
Sevastopol 73%Draw 21%Astrakhan 6% Expected goals 2.16 – 0.53
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSevastopol to win ✗73% · @1.24
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✗94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 8.81

Sevastopol vs Astrakhan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Sevastopol v Astrakhan in the Second League Group 1, played at Sportyvnyj Kompleks. In the table, Sevastopol are 1st, leading the league, on 50 points after 21 matches; Astrakhan are 11th (lower half) with 20. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sevastopol, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pobeda, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Astrakhan, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mashuk-KMV, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sevastopol, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Astrakhan.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Astrakhan 1–2 Sevastopol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sevastopol 2.2 xG, Astrakhan 0.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sevastopol 73%, draw 21%, Astrakhan 6%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevastopol 2–0 Astrakhan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sevastopol73%fair 1.36 · @1.24
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @4.90
Astrakhan6%fair 16.39 · @12.30
2.69Expected goals
2.16Sevastopol xG
0.53Astrakhan xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Sevastopol 2.2 – 0.5 Astrakhan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSevastopol to win ✗73%1.361.24
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✗94%1.06–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.921.53
Draw no betSevastopol (draw no bet) ✗92%1.08–
Asian handicapSevastopol -1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.441.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.191.13
First team to scoreSevastopol to score first75%1.34–
Half-time resultSevastopol ahead at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol ✗50%2.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11%8.81–

Recent results

Sevastopol – last 6

WWWLWW
8 Aug@ Pobeda3–1W
1 Augvs Nart Cherkessk2–1W
25 Jul@ Druzhba3–1W
4 Jul@ Spartak Nalchik2–3L
27 Junvs Angust Nazran1–0W
20 Jun@ Astrakhan2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Astrakhan – last 6

DLWLLL
12 Augvs Mashuk-KMV1–1D
1 Aug@ Shahter Taganrog1–3L
25 Julvs FK Chayka 23–0W
4 Julvs Lugansk1–2L
27 Jun@ Rostov II0–2L
20 Junvs Sevastopol1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Astrakhan v Sevastopol1–2
Sevastopol vs Astrakhan head-to-head page →

Second League Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sevastopol211623+2150
2Shahter Taganrog211443+2246
3Rostov II211443+2946
4Rubin Yalta20974+1034
5Pobeda201037+1133
6Kyzyltash21948+631
7Nart Cherkessk20938+830
8Spartak Nalchik20776+728
9Druzhba20767-227
10Lugansk21669-624
11Astrakhan205510-1020
12Izberbash216015-3818
13Angust Nazran204412-1216
14FK Chayka 2214215-2614
15Dynamo Makhachkala II213513-2014
16PSK Dinskaya000000

More Second League Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?

On our numbers Sevastopol have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astrakhan 6%.

How many goals will there be in Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?

Our predicted score is Sevastopol 2–0 Astrakhan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?

Sevastopol vs Astrakhan (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportyvnyj Kompleks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.