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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sevastopol v Kyzyltash: numbers & prediction

Second League Group 1 · Russia · Sportyvnyj Kompleks
2–1
FT
Sevastopol 65%Draw 22%Kyzyltash 13% Expected goals 1.99 – 0.78
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.17 – our chance 54% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSevastopol to win ✓65% · @1.38
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.17
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.33

Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Sevastopol v Kyzyltash in the Second League Group 1, played at Sportyvnyj Kompleks. In the table, Sevastopol are 1st, leading the league, on 50 points after 21 matches; Kyzyltash are 6th (upper half) with 31. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sevastopol, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Spartak Nalchik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Kyzyltash, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nart Cherkessk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Sevastopol, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Kyzyltash.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Kyzyltash 0–2 Sevastopol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sevastopol 2.0 xG, Kyzyltash 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sevastopol 65%, draw 22%, Kyzyltash 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.17.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.17 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevastopol 2–0 Kyzyltash. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sevastopol65%fair 1.54 · @1.38
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.30
Kyzyltash13%fair 7.57 · @7.50
2.77Expected goals
1.99Sevastopol xG
0.78Kyzyltash xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Sevastopol 2.0 – 0.8 Kyzyltash expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSevastopol to win ✓65%1.541.38
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.872.17 ▲
Draw no betSevastopol (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapSevastopol -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreSevastopol to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultSevastopol ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol ✓42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.33–

Recent results

Sevastopol – last 6

WWLWWW
29 Augvs Spartak Nalchik1–0W
22 Aug@ Angust Nazran1–0W
15 Augvs Astrakhan3–4L
8 Aug@ Pobeda3–1W
1 Augvs Nart Cherkessk2–1W
25 Jul@ Druzhba3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kyzyltash – last 6

WDLWLD
29 Augvs Nart Cherkessk3–2W
22 Aug@ Druzhba1–1D
15 Augvs Dynamo Makhachkala II1–4L
8 Aug@ Izberbash6–1W
1 Augvs Spartak Nalchik2–3L
25 Jul@ Angust Nazran0–0D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Kyzyltash v Sevastopol0–2
Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash head-to-head page →

Second League Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sevastopol211623+2150
2Shahter Taganrog211443+2246
3Rostov II211443+2946
4Rubin Yalta20974+1034
5Pobeda201037+1133
6Kyzyltash21948+631
7Nart Cherkessk20938+830
8Spartak Nalchik20776+728
9Druzhba20767-227
10Lugansk21669-624
11Astrakhan205510-1020
12Izberbash216015-3818
13Angust Nazran204412-1216
14FK Chayka 2214215-2614
15Dynamo Makhachkala II213513-2014
16PSK Dinskaya000000

More Second League Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?

On our numbers Sevastopol have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kyzyltash 13%.

How many goals will there be in Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?

Our predicted score is Sevastopol 2–0 Kyzyltash, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash?

Sevastopol vs Kyzyltash (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportyvnyj Kompleks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.