Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultPobeda to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chancePobeda or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Pobeda vs Astrakhan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pobeda welcome Astrakhan to Stadion Spartak for a Second League Group 1 fixture on Saturday 12 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, Pobeda are 5th, upper half, on 33 points after 20 matches; Astrakhan are 11th (lower half) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pobeda, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Izberbash, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Astrakhan, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dynamo Makhachkala II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pobeda, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Astrakhan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pobeda 2.1 xG, Astrakhan 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pobeda 60%, draw 21%, Astrakhan 19%.
Lower-risk option: Pobeda or draw (81%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pobeda 2–1 Astrakhan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pobeda60%fair 1.66 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.30
Astrakhan19%fair 5.33 · @4.35
3.24Expected goals
2.12Pobeda xG
1.11Astrakhan xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pobeda 2.1 – 1.1 Astrakhan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pobeda to win✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Double chance
Pobeda or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Draw no bet
Pobeda (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Pobeda -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.31
First team to score
Pobeda to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Pobeda ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pobeda / FT Pobeda✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Pobeda – last 6
WLWLLW
5 Sep
@ Izberbash
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Rostov II
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Lugansk
3–0
W
12 Aug
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sevastopol
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ FK Chayka 2
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Astrakhan – last 6
DLLDWD
5 Sep
vs Dynamo Makhachkala II
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Lugansk
0–4
L
26 Aug
@ Dinamo Stavropol
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Rostov II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Sevastopol
4–3
W
12 Aug
vs Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pobeda and Astrakhan.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Pobeda vs Astrakhan?
On our numbers Pobeda have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astrakhan 19%.
How many goals will there be in Pobeda vs Astrakhan?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pobeda vs Astrakhan?
Our predicted score is Pobeda 2–1 Astrakhan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Pobeda vs Astrakhan?
Pobeda vs Astrakhan (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.