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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sevastopol v Rubin Yalta: numbers & prediction

Second League Group 1 · Russia · SK Sevastopol
3–1
FT
Sevastopol 69%Draw 20%Rubin Yalta 11% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.62
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSevastopol to win ✓69% · @1.50
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63

Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Tuesday 22 September: Sevastopol v Rubin Yalta in the Second League Group 1, played at SK Sevastopol. In the table, Sevastopol are 1st, leading the league, on 50 points after 21 matches; Rubin Yalta are 4th (among the top four) with 34. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sevastopol, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kyzyltash, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Rubin Yalta, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kyzyltash, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Rubin Yalta 1–0 Sevastopol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sevastopol 1.9 xG, Rubin Yalta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sevastopol 69%, draw 20%, Rubin Yalta 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.64.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevastopol 2–0 Rubin Yalta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sevastopol69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.90
Rubin Yalta11%fair 8.83 · @5.95
2.55Expected goals
1.93Sevastopol xG
0.62Rubin Yalta xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Sevastopol 1.9 – 0.6 Rubin Yalta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSevastopol to win ✓69%1.451.50
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓89%1.131.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.64
Draw no betSevastopol (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapSevastopol -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.09
First team to scoreSevastopol to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultSevastopol ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol ✓44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.63–

Recent results

Sevastopol – last 6

WWWLWW
5 Sepvs Kyzyltash2–1W
29 Augvs Spartak Nalchik1–0W
22 Aug@ Angust Nazran1–0W
15 Augvs Astrakhan3–4L
8 Aug@ Pobeda3–1W
1 Augvs Nart Cherkessk2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rubin Yalta – last 6

LWWWDW
12 Sep@ Kyzyltash0–2L
29 Augvs Druzhba4–1W
22 Aug@ Nart Cherkessk1–0W
15 Augvs Izberbash2–1W
9 Aug@ Dynamo Makhachkala II1–1D
1 Augvs Angust Nazran3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Rubin Yalta v Sevastopol1–0
Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta head-to-head page →

Second League Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sevastopol211623+2150
2Shahter Taganrog211443+2246
3Rostov II211443+2946
4Rubin Yalta20974+1034
5Pobeda201037+1133
6Kyzyltash21948+631
7Nart Cherkessk20938+830
8Spartak Nalchik20776+728
9Druzhba20767-227
10Lugansk21669-624
11Astrakhan205510-1020
12Izberbash216015-3818
13Angust Nazran204412-1216
14FK Chayka 2214215-2614
15Dynamo Makhachkala II213513-2014
16PSK Dinskaya000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta?

On our numbers Sevastopol have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rubin Yalta 11%.

How many goals will there be in Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta?

Our predicted score is Sevastopol 2–0 Rubin Yalta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta?

Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at SK Sevastopol.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.