Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
2
Value bet: Pobeda to win @ 1.93 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPobeda to win ✗61% · @1.93
Double chancePobeda or draw ✗86% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Angust Nazran vs Pobeda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Angust Nazran v Pobeda in the Second League Group 1. In the table, Angust Nazran are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 20 matches; Pobeda are 5th (upper half) with 33. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Angust Nazran, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Astrakhan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Pobeda, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Spartak Nalchik, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Pobeda, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Angust Nazran.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Pobeda 0–1 Angust Nazran.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Angust Nazran 0.7 xG, Pobeda 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Angust Nazran 14%, draw 25%, Pobeda 61%.
Lower-risk option: Pobeda or draw (86%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Pobeda to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pobeda or draw (86%, odds 1.23 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Angust Nazran 0–1 Pobeda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Angust Nazran14%fair 7.08 · @3.96
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.58
Pobeda61%fair 1.65 · @1.93
2.45Expected goals
0.72Angust Nazran xG
1.73Pobeda xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Angust Nazran 0.7 – 1.7 Pobeda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
Our pick is Pobeda or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
On our numbers Angust Nazran have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pobeda 61%.
How many goals will there be in Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
Our predicted score is Angust Nazran 0–1 Pobeda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
Angust Nazran vs Pobeda (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
