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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rubin Yalta v Astrakhan: numbers & prediction

Second League Group 1 · Russia · Avangard Stadium
3–1
FT
Rubin Yalta 59%Draw 23%Astrakhan 18% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.83
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.27 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.27Odds

Picks by market

ResultRubin Yalta to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceRubin Yalta or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55

Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Astrakhan travel to face Rubin Yalta on Sunday 18 October in the Second League Group 1, with Avangard Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Rubin Yalta are 4th, among the top four, on 34 points after 20 matches; Astrakhan are 11th (lower half) with 20. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rubin Yalta, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pobeda, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Astrakhan, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kyzyltash, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Rubin Yalta, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Astrakhan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rubin Yalta 1.7 xG, Astrakhan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rubin Yalta 59%, draw 23%, Astrakhan 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rubin Yalta or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.82.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubin Yalta 1–0 Astrakhan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rubin Yalta59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.80
Astrakhan18%fair 5.64 · @4.34
2.58Expected goals
1.75Rubin Yalta xG
0.83Astrakhan xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Rubin Yalta 1.7 – 0.8 Astrakhan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRubin Yalta to win ✓59%1.691.67
Double chanceRubin Yalta or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.82
Draw no betRubin Yalta (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapAstrakhan +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.10
First team to scoreRubin Yalta to score first63%1.60–
Half-time resultRubin Yalta ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rubin Yalta / FT Rubin Yalta ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.55–

Recent results

Rubin Yalta – last 6

LWWLLW
10 Oct@ Pobeda1–2L
3 Octvs FK Chayka 24–0W
26 Sep@ Shahter Taganrog1–0W
22 Sep@ Sevastopol1–3L
12 Sep@ Kyzyltash0–2L
29 Augvs Druzhba4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Astrakhan – last 6

DLWDLD
10 Octvs Kyzyltash0–0D
3 Oct@ Spartak Nalchik1–2L
26 Sep@ Angust Nazran1–0W
19 Sep@ Izberbash0–0D
12 Sep@ Pobeda1–2L
5 Sepvs Dynamo Makhachkala II1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rubin Yalta and Astrakhan.

Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan head-to-head page →

Second League Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sevastopol211623+2150
2Shahter Taganrog211443+2246
3Rostov II211443+2946
4Rubin Yalta20974+1034
5Pobeda201037+1133
6Kyzyltash21948+631
7Nart Cherkessk20938+830
8Spartak Nalchik20776+728
9Druzhba20767-227
10Lugansk21669-624
11Astrakhan205510-1020
12Izberbash216015-3818
13Angust Nazran204412-1216
14FK Chayka 2214215-2614
15Dynamo Makhachkala II213513-2014
16PSK Dinskaya000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan?

On our numbers Rubin Yalta have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Astrakhan 18%.

How many goals will there be in Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan?

Our predicted score is Rubin Yalta 1–0 Astrakhan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan?

Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.