Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valley 559 FC v Sacramento Republic: numbers & prediction

US Open Cup · USA · Fresno State Soccer Stadium

Valley 559 FC

W
0–4
FT

Sacramento Republic

LDDDW
Valley 559 FC 9%Draw 19%Sacramento Republic 72% Expected goals 0.17 – 1.33
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓72% · @1.25
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓73% · fair 1.37
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗30% · fair 3.37

Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sacramento Republic travel to face Valley 559 FC on Wednesday 1 April in the US Open Cup, with Fresno State Soccer Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT.

Current form

Sacramento Republic, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to El Paso Locomotive, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valley 559 FC 0.2 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valley 559 FC 9%, draw 19%, Sacramento Republic 72%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valley 559 FC 0–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valley 559 FC9%fair 11.42 · @9.25
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.80
Sacramento Republic72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
1.50Expected goals
0.17Valley 559 FC xG
1.33Sacramento Republic xG
27%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–130%
0–022%
0–220%
0–39%
1–15%
1–04%

From our goals model: Valley 559 FC 0.2 – 1.3 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✓72%1.391.25
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓91%1.101.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓73%1.37–
Draw no betSacramento Republic (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapSacramento Republic -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.55 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreSacramento Republic to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✓41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗30%3.37–

Recent results

Valley 559 FC – last 1

W
19 Mar@ Alta1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 5

LDDDW
29 Marvs El Paso Locomotive1–2L
22 Marvs Monterey Bay1–1D
19 Marvs El Farolito0–0D
15 Mar@ Lexington0–0D
8 Marvs FC Tulsa2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Valley 559 FC and Sacramento Republic.

Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic head-to-head page →

More US Open Cup predictions

League hub
FT Charlotte Independence2 Charleston Battery2 AET 3–2 127%3.75X23%3.50250%1.85 1.8–2.1xG 2Charleston Battery to win 50%@1.85 ✗
FT Chattanooga1 Tennessee Tempo0 168%1.33X22%5.00211%6.00 1.9–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.53 ✓
FT Richmond Kickers1 Loudoun United0 125%4.00X23%3.50252%1.73 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?

On our numbers Valley 559 FC have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sacramento Republic 72%.

How many goals will there be in Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 27% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?

Our predicted score is Valley 559 FC 0–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic?

Valley 559 FC vs Sacramento Republic (US Open Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Fresno State Soccer Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.