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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Phu Dong v Viettel: numbers & prediction

Cup · Vietnam · Ninh Binh Stadium
4–1
FT

Viettel

WDDWW
Phu Dong 48%Draw 25%Viettel 27% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.16
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Phu Dong to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPhu Dong to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Phu Dong vs Viettel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Thursday 11 June: Phu Dong v Viettel in the Cup, played at Ninh Binh Stadium.

Current form

Phu Dong, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Viettel, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Công An Nhân Dân, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Viettel 1–1 Phu Dong.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Phu Dong 1.9 xG, Viettel 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 49% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Phu Dong 48%, draw 25%, Viettel 27%.
  • Price worth noting: Phu Dong to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phu Dong 1–1 Viettel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Phu Dong48%fair 2.09 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.90
Viettel27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
3.02Expected goals
1.86Phu Dong xG
1.16Viettel xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Phu Dong 1.9 – 1.2 Viettel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhu Dong to win ✓48%2.092.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.87–
Draw no betPhu Dong (draw no bet) ✓64%1.57–
Asian handicapViettel +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
First team to scorePhu Dong to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultPhu Dong ahead at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Phu Dong / FT Phu Dong ✓33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Phu Dong – last 6

WWDWDL
7 Junvs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh3–0W
31 May@ Thanh Hóa2–0W
23 Mayvs Ho Chi Minh1–1D
9 Mayvs Hai Phong2–1W
3 May@ Viettel1–1D
24 Aprvs Ha Noi2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Viettel – last 6

WDDWWD
7 Junvs Công An Nhân Dân1–0W
31 May@ Ho Chi Minh1–1D
22 Mayvs Pho Hien1–1D
17 May@ Nam Dinh2–0W
10 May@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh2–0W
3 Mayvs Phu Dong1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Viettel v Phu Dong1–1
Phu Dong vs Viettel head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Phu Dong vs Viettel?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Phu Dong vs Viettel?

On our numbers Phu Dong have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Viettel 27%.

How many goals will there be in Phu Dong vs Viettel?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Phu Dong vs Viettel?

Our predicted score is Phu Dong 1–1 Viettel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Phu Dong vs Viettel?

Phu Dong vs Viettel (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ninh Binh Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.