Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZvezda St. Petersburg to win ✗55% · @1.71
Double chanceZvezda St. Petersburg or draw ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Iskra Smolensk travel to face Zvezda St. Petersburg on Saturday 6 June in the Second League Group 2, with Stadion Nova Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 20 matches; Iskra Smolensk are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15.
Current form
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Irkutsk, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Iskra Smolensk, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Torpedo Vladimir, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.9 xG, Iskra Smolensk 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zvezda St. Petersburg 55%, draw 23%, Iskra Smolensk 21%.
Lower-risk option: Zvezda St. Petersburg or draw (79%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Iskra Smolensk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg55%fair 1.80 · @1.71
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.54
Iskra Smolensk21%fair 4.76 · @4.10
3.02Expected goals
1.86Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.16Iskra Smolensk xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.9 – 1.2 Iskra Smolensk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zvezda St. Petersburg to win✗
55%
1.80
1.71
Double chance
Zvezda St. Petersburg or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Zvezda St. Petersburg (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Iskra Smolensk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Zvezda St. Petersburg to score first
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Zvezda St. Petersburg ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zvezda St. Petersburg / FT Zvezda St. Petersburg✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
DLLDLD
3 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–1
D
31 May
@ Murom
0–3
L
24 May
@ Luki-Energiya
0–3
L
10 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Iskra Smolensk – last 6
LLLWLD
30 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
24 May
@ Irkutsk
1–2
L
10 May
@ Baltika II
1–4
L
2 May
vs Yenisey II
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Cherepovets
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zvezda St. Petersburg and Iskra Smolensk.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Iskra Smolensk 21%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Iskra Smolensk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
