Value bet: Murom to win @ 2.77 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMurom to win ✗39% · @2.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Luki-Energiya vs Murom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 7 June the Second League Group 2 brings Luki-Energiya against Murom at Stadion Ekspress. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Luki-Energiya are 3rd, among the top four, on 42 points after 21 matches; Murom are 1st (leading the league) with 44. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Luki-Energiya, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Zvezda St. Petersburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Murom, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Zvezda St. Petersburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luki-Energiya 1.0 xG, Murom 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luki-Energiya 34%, draw 27%, Murom 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Murom to win @2.77 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luki-Energiya 1–1 Murom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luki-Energiya34%fair 2.95 · @2.27
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.22
Murom39%fair 2.54 · @2.77
2.26Expected goals
1.01Luki-Energiya xG
1.25Murom xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.0 – 1.2 Murom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murom to win✗
39%
2.54
2.77 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Draw no bet
Murom (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Luki-Energiya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Murom to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murom / FT Murom✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Luki-Energiya – last 6
WDWWDW
24 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
17 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
10 May
@ Irkutsk
1–0
W
3 May
vs Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Baltika II
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Yenisey II
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Murom – last 6
WLWWDW
31 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
23 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
10 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luki-Energiya and Murom.
What is the prediction for Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Murom 39%.
How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 1–1 Murom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
Luki-Energiya vs Murom (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ekspress.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
