Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLuki-Energiya to win ✗59% · @1.48
Double chanceLuki-Energiya or draw ✓82% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Iskra Smolensk vs Luki-Energiya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 13 June: Iskra Smolensk v Luki-Energiya in the Second League Group 2. In the table, Iskra Smolensk are 14th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 21 matches; Luki-Energiya are 3rd (among the top four) with 42. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Iskra Smolensk, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zvezda St. Petersburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Luki-Energiya, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Murom, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Luki-Energiya, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Iskra Smolensk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iskra Smolensk 1.0 xG, Luki-Energiya 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iskra Smolensk 18%, draw 23%, Luki-Energiya 59%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iskra Smolensk 1–1 Luki-Energiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iskra Smolensk18%fair 5.43 · @6.45
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.54
Luki-Energiya59%fair 1.71 · @1.48
2.71Expected goals
0.95Iskra Smolensk xG
1.76Luki-Energiya xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Iskra Smolensk 1.0 – 1.8 Luki-Energiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luki-Energiya to win✗
59%
1.71
1.48
Double chance
Luki-Energiya or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Luki-Energiya (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Iskra Smolensk +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Luki-Energiya to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luki-Energiya / FT Luki-Energiya✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Iskra Smolensk – last 6
DLLLWL
6 Jun
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–1
D
30 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
24 May
@ Irkutsk
1–2
L
10 May
@ Baltika II
1–4
L
2 May
vs Yenisey II
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Cherepovets
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Luki-Energiya – last 6
WWDWWD
7 Jun
vs Murom
2–1
W
24 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
17 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
10 May
@ Irkutsk
1–0
W
3 May
vs Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Baltika II
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iskra Smolensk and Luki-Energiya.
What is the prediction for Iskra Smolensk vs Luki-Energiya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Luki-Energiya?
On our numbers Iskra Smolensk have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Luki-Energiya 59%.
How many goals will there be in Iskra Smolensk vs Luki-Energiya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iskra Smolensk vs Luki-Energiya?
Our predicted score is Iskra Smolensk 1–1 Luki-Energiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Iskra Smolensk vs Luki-Energiya?
Iskra Smolensk vs Luki-Energiya (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
