Tver 59%Draw 22%Zvezda St. Petersburg 20%Expected goals 2.03 – 1.02
80%
Betarazi pick
Tver or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Tver to win @ 1.92 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTver to win ✗59% · @1.92
Double chanceTver or draw ✗80% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zvezda St. Petersburg travel to face Tver on Sunday 14 June in the Second League Group 2 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Tver are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 21 matches; Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th (lower half) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tver, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Torpedo Vladimir, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iskra Smolensk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tver 2.0 xG, Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tver 59%, draw 22%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 20%.
Lower-risk option: Tver or draw (80%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Tver to win @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tver or draw (80%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tver 2–1 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tver59%fair 1.70 · @1.92
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.35
Zvezda St. Petersburg20%fair 5.10 · @3.40
3.05Expected goals
2.03Tver xG
1.02Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tver 2.0 – 1.0 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tver to win✗
59%
1.70
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Tver or draw✗
80%
1.24
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.66
Draw no bet
Tver (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Tver -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Tver to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Tver ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tver / FT Tver✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Tver – last 6
LWLLLD
7 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–2
L
31 May
vs Irkutsk
3–2
W
24 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–2
L
21 May
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–2
L
17 May
vs Baltika II
0–1
L
10 May
@ Yenisey II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
DDLLDL
6 Jun
vs Iskra Smolensk
1–1
D
3 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–1
D
31 May
@ Murom
0–3
L
24 May
@ Luki-Energiya
0–3
L
10 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tver and Zvezda St. Petersburg.
What is the prediction for Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Tver or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Tver have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Tver 2–1 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
