Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.58 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.58Odds
2
Value bet: Tver to win @ 2.43 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTver to win ✓47% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Iskra Smolensk vs Tver: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Iskra Smolensk welcome Tver for a Second League Group 2 fixture on Saturday 4 July (11:00 WAT). In the table, Iskra Smolensk are 14th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 21 matches; Tver are 8th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Iskra Smolensk, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Murom, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Tver, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Murom, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tver, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Iskra Smolensk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iskra Smolensk 1.3 xG, Tver 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iskra Smolensk 31%, draw 22%, Tver 47%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.58.
Price worth noting: Tver to win @2.43 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.58). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iskra Smolensk 1–1 Tver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iskra Smolensk31%fair 3.20 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.52
Tver47%fair 2.15 · @2.43
3.09Expected goals
1.26Iskra Smolensk xG
1.83Tver xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Iskra Smolensk 1.3 – 1.8 Tver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tver to win✓
47%
2.15
2.43 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.58
Draw no bet
Tver (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Iskra Smolensk +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.10
First team to score
Tver to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tver / FT Tver✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Iskra Smolensk – last 6
LDDLLL
21 Jun
@ Murom
0–6
L
13 Jun
vs Luki-Energiya
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–1
D
30 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
24 May
@ Irkutsk
1–2
L
10 May
@ Baltika II
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tver – last 6
WLLLWL
28 Jun
vs Murom
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–2
L
31 May
vs Irkutsk
3–2
W
24 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iskra Smolensk and Tver.
What is the prediction for Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
On our numbers Iskra Smolensk have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tver 47%.
How many goals will there be in Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
Our predicted score is Iskra Smolensk 1–1 Tver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
Iskra Smolensk vs Tver (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
