Baltika II 55%Draw 24%Zvezda St. Petersburg 21%Expected goals 2.02 – 1.16
79%
Betarazi pick
Baltika II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Baltika II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBaltika II to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceBaltika II or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zvezda St. Petersburg travel to face Baltika II on Sunday 9 August in the Second League Group 2, with Baltika Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Baltika II are 4th, among the top four, on 40 points after 21 matches; Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th (lower half) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Baltika II, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Torpedo Vladimir, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Yenisey II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Zvezda St. Petersburg, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Baltika II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika II 2.0 xG, Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika II 55%, draw 24%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 21%.
Lower-risk option: Baltika II or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Baltika II to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Baltika II or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika II 2–1 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika II55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Zvezda St. Petersburg21%fair 4.77 · @3.48
3.18Expected goals
2.02Baltika II xG
1.16Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Baltika II 2.0 – 1.2 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika II to win✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Baltika II or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Draw no bet
Baltika II (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Zvezda St. Petersburg +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.47
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.15
First team to score
Baltika II to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Baltika II ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika II / FT Baltika II✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Baltika II – last 6
DWLWLL
2 Aug
@ Torpedo Vladimir
2–2
D
28 Jun
@ Yenisey II
6–1
W
21 Jun
vs Chertanovo Moscow
1–3
L
14 Jun
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–3
L
31 May
@ Cherepovets
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
WDDWLW
2 Aug
vs Yenisey II
4–1
W
26 Jul
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ Cherepovets
2–0
W
23 Jun
vs Spartak Moscow 2
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Tver
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika II and Zvezda St. Petersburg.
What is the prediction for Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Baltika II or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Baltika II have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 21%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Baltika II 2–1 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Baltika Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
