Value bet: Chertanovo Moscow to win @ 1.77 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChertanovo Moscow to win ✓64% · @1.77
Double chanceChertanovo Moscow or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chertanovo Moscow welcome Tver to Chertanovo Arena for a Second League Group 2 fixture on Sunday 23 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Chertanovo Moscow are 5th, upper half, on 39 points after 21 matches; Tver are 8th (upper half) with 24. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chertanovo Moscow, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Iskra Smolensk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Tver, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kosmos Dolgoprudny, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tver, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Chertanovo Moscow.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Tver 0–2 Chertanovo Moscow.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chertanovo Moscow 2.0 xG, Tver 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chertanovo Moscow 64%, draw 21%, Tver 14%.
Lower-risk option: Chertanovo Moscow or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.74.
Price worth noting: Chertanovo Moscow to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Tver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chertanovo Moscow64%fair 1.56 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Tver14%fair 6.91 · @4.34
2.85Expected goals
2.01Chertanovo Moscow xG
0.84Tver xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chertanovo Moscow 2.0 – 0.8 Tver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
On our numbers Chertanovo Moscow have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tver 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
Our predicted score is Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Tver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Chertanovo Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
