Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBaltika II to win ✗70% · @1.37
Double chanceBaltika II or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Iskra Smolensk welcome Baltika II for a Second League Group 2 fixture on Saturday 29 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, Iskra Smolensk are 14th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 21 matches; Baltika II are 4th (among the top four) with 40. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Iskra Smolensk, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Yenisey II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Baltika II, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Murom, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Baltika II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Iskra Smolensk.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Baltika II 4–1 Iskra Smolensk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iskra Smolensk 0.8 xG, Baltika II 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iskra Smolensk 11%, draw 19%, Baltika II 70%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Baltika II to win (70%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iskra Smolensk 0–2 Baltika II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iskra Smolensk11%fair 9.35 · @6.55
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.80
Baltika II70%fair 1.42 · @1.37
3.13Expected goals
0.81Iskra Smolensk xG
2.32Baltika II xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Iskra Smolensk 0.8 – 2.3 Baltika II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
Our pick is Baltika II to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
On our numbers Iskra Smolensk have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Baltika II 70%.
How many goals will there be in Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
Our predicted score is Iskra Smolensk 0–2 Baltika II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
