Double chanceChertanovo Moscow or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Chertanovo Moscow v Cherepovets in the Second League Group 2, played at Chertanovo Arena. In the table, Chertanovo Moscow are 5th, upper half, on 39 points after 21 matches; Cherepovets are 9th (lower half) with 24. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chertanovo Moscow, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spartak Moscow 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cherepovets, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kosmos Dolgoprudny, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chertanovo Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Cherepovets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chertanovo Moscow 1.9 xG, Cherepovets 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chertanovo Moscow 62%, draw 19%, Cherepovets 18%.
Lower-risk option: Chertanovo Moscow or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Cherepovets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chertanovo Moscow62%fair 1.60 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.70
Cherepovets18%fair 5.47 · @4.93
2.75Expected goals
1.88Chertanovo Moscow xG
0.87Cherepovets xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Chertanovo Moscow 1.9 – 0.9 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertanovo Moscow to win✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Double chance
Chertanovo Moscow or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Chertanovo Moscow (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Chertanovo Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Chertanovo Moscow to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Chertanovo Moscow ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertanovo Moscow / FT Chertanovo Moscow✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Chertanovo Moscow – last 6
DWWWWL
30 Aug
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ KDV
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Tver
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Iskra Smolensk
3–0
W
12 Aug
vs Chita
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Murom
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cherepovets – last 6
LLDDDL
30 Aug
vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1–2
L
27 Aug
@ Luki-Energiya
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ FC Tosno
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow 2
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Tver
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertanovo Moscow and Cherepovets.
What is the prediction for Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Chertanovo Moscow have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cherepovets 18%.
How many goals will there be in Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Chertanovo Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
