Zvezda St. Petersburg 14%Draw 23%Murom 63%Expected goals 0.74 – 1.86
86%
Betarazi pick
Murom or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Murom to win @ 1.87 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMurom to win ✓63% · @1.87
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.22
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zvezda St. Petersburg welcome Murom to Stadion Nova Arena for a Second League Group 2 fixture on Friday 18 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 20 matches; Murom are 1st (leading the league) with 44. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Luki-Energiya, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Murom, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Torpedo Vladimir, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Murom, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Murom 3–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zvezda St. Petersburg 0.7 xG, Murom 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zvezda St. Petersburg 14%, draw 23%, Murom 63%.
Lower-risk option: Murom or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.89.
Price worth noting: Murom to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Murom or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zvezda St. Petersburg 0–1 Murom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg14%fair 7.40 · @3.84
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Murom63%fair 1.58 · @1.87
2.60Expected goals
0.74Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.86Murom xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 0.7 – 1.9 Murom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
Our pick is Murom or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Murom 63%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 0–1 Murom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
