Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.98 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBaltika II to win ✗63% · @1.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Baltika II vs Cherepovets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Second League Group 2 brings Baltika II against Cherepovets at Baltika Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Baltika II are 4th, among the top four, on 40 points after 21 matches; Cherepovets are 9th (lower half) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Baltika II, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Spartak Moscow 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Cherepovets, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Yenisey II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Baltika II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Cherepovets.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Cherepovets 1–0 Baltika II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika II 1.9 xG, Cherepovets 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika II 63%, draw 18%, Cherepovets 19%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.98.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.98 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika II 2–0 Cherepovets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika II63%fair 1.59 · @1.51
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.30
Cherepovets19%fair 5.18 · @4.94
2.80Expected goals
1.90Baltika II xG
0.90Cherepovets xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Baltika II 1.9 – 0.9 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Baltika II have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cherepovets 19%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Baltika II 2–0 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
Baltika II vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Baltika Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
